Poll of Polls

As at 16 October 2014.

National: 46.1% (59/121 seats)

Labour: 24.6% (32 seats)

Greens: 11.8% (15 seats)

NZ First: 8.3% (11 seats)

Maori: 1.2% (2 seats)

United Future: 0.3% (1 seat)

ACT: 0.7% (1 seat)

Internet Mana: 1.6% (0 seats)

Conservative: 4.2% (0 seats)

Seat predictions based on the Maori party winning Waiariki, ACT retaining Epsom, and United Future retaining Ohariu.

Centre-right (National + ACT + United Future) = 61/121 seats (61 seats needed to form government).

Centre-left (Labour + Greens + Mana) = 47/121 seats.

Centre (Maori + NZ First) = 13/122 seats.

Methodology:

Each poll is weighted depending on how recent it is and for the sample size, with adjustments made for both in-house bias and industry bias.

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